With the regular season winding down, it’s time to dissect the Atlantic and Coastal Division tiebreakers to see which teams still have a shot at playing in the ACC Championship Game in Charlotte, NC.
Clemson Tigers (8-1) (5-1): Can clinch a spot in the ACC title game with a victory over Wake Forest on Saturday. With a win, Clemson would be 6-1 in-conference, versus Wake’s 4-3 record and Florida State‘s possible 5-2 W-L. However, Clemson would also own a victory in both head-to-head matchups, and thus have the tiebreaker advantage.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-4) (4-2): Can clinch a spot in the ACC title game with a victory over Clemson on Saturday and a win over Boston College in two weeks. With wins in both games, Wake would be 6-2 in the ACC, which is the best possible outcome for FSU and Clemson as well. However, Wake would also own a victory in both head-to-head matchups and thus have the tiebreaker advantage.
Florida State Seminoles (6-3) (4-2): Can clinch a spot in the ACC title game by finishing the regular season with a 6-2 conference record, Clemson losing its final two conference games and Wake Forest losing its game versus Boston College. In this scenario, Both Clemson and Wake would be 5-3 in-conference, giving the division to the Seminoles.
Virginia Tech Hokies (8-1) (4-1): Can clinch a spot in the ACC title game by winning their three remaining games, thus finishing the regular season with a 7-1 league record. If the Hokies won out, the closest possible W-L to their mark would be 5-3.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-2) (4-2): Can clinch a spot in the ACC title game by winning its final two games, and by Virginia losing one of its final three league contests. By winning its final two games, the Yellow Jackets would own the head-to-head tiebreaker against Virginia Tech. However, they would need the Cavaliers to finish no better than 5-3 since Virginia beat Georgia Tech in October, and thus would win any head-to-head tiebreaker.
Virginia Cavaliers (6-3) (3-2): Can clinch a spot in the ACC title game by winning its final three games. If the Cavaliers finished the regular season with a 6-2 conference record, it would include victories over both Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech. While the Yellow Jackets would be eliminated by their (at best) 5-3 record, the Hokies would lose by virtue of head-to-head tiebreaker (if they finished 6-2 as well).
Miami (FL) Hurricanes (5-4) (3-3): Can clinch a spot in the ACC title game by winning its final two conference games, Virginia Tech losing its final three conference games, Virginia losing two of its final three conference games (as long as one of those is not to the Hokies) and Georgia Tech losing its game to Duke (but beating the Hokies). In this scenario, the Hurricanes and Yellow Jackets would be 5-3 in the ACC, while Virginia and Virginia Tech would both stand at 4-4. Since Miami loses the head-to-head tiebreakers with both UVa and VPI, they would need to finish one game above them in the standings. Since the ‘Canes beat Georgia Tech a few weeks back, however, they would win a tiebreaker if both teams were 5-3.